| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas wins the 1H by over 16.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas wins the 1H by over 19.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oklahoma wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oklahoma wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oklahoma wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oklahoma wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 11¢ | 32¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 51¢ | 75¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 37¢ | 61¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 22¢ | 46¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 3¢ | 24¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 13¢ | 34¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets participants trade on which team will cover the spread during the first half of the Oklahoma vs Texas game. First-half markets matter because they isolate early-game dynamics—starting personnel, opening play-calling, and tempo—which can differ from full-game outcomes.
Oklahoma and Texas are long-standing rivals with contrasting offensive and defensive strengths; first-half results often reflect the matchup of starters and opening game plans rather than late-game adjustments. Early scoring pace in these games has varied historically, with some matchups decided before halftime and others remaining tight. The market on KALSHI offers 11 discrete outcomes so traders can express nuanced views on the early margin.
Market prices aggregate trader views about which first-half margin band is most likely; higher prices indicate less market support and lower prices indicate more. Interpret prices as a dynamic signal that updates as new information arrives—injury reports, starting lineups, weather, and betting flow.
The market close is listed as TBD; KALSHI will publish the official close time on the market page. Typically markets of this type close shortly before kickoff or when the platform announces suspension, so check the live listing for updates.
The 11 outcomes correspond to discrete first-half point-differential bands (spread buckets) that specify which team leads by how many points at halftime. Exact band boundaries are shown on the market page so traders can select the margin range they expect.
Late injury news—especially to starters like quarterbacks or key defenders—can materially shift expectations for the first half and thus market prices, because first-half performance depends heavily on the starting lineup and immediate game plan.
Recent head-to-head first-half trends can provide context (e.g., typical pace, turnover tendencies), but current-season personnel, injuries, and coaching changes generally carry more predictive weight for this specific market.
Resolution follows KALSHI's platform rules: if the first half does not occur as scheduled the market may be voided or settled according to the platform's contingency policies. Consult the KALSHI market rules and official announcements for the definitive resolution procedure.