| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arkansas wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arkansas wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oklahoma wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arkansas wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oklahoma wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arkansas wins the 1H by over 19.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arkansas wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arkansas wins the 1H by over 16.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oklahoma wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arkansas wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the first-half point spread between Oklahoma and Arkansas, focusing on which team will lead or by how many at halftime. It matters because first-half markets isolate early-game dynamics, coaching decisions, and starter matchups independent of second-half adjustments.
Oklahoma and Arkansas are prominent college football programs whose games often hinge on early-matchup advantages and tempo. Historical matchups and program styles (offensive tempo, run/pass balance, defensive strengths) help frame expectations for the opening 30 minutes.
Market odds represent the collective market view of which halftime margin outcome is most likely and will update as news and trading activity arrive. View odds as relative demand for particular first-half margins rather than fixed forecasts.
The event page lists the close time as TBD; KALSHI markets typically close prior to kickoff or at a platform-specified deadline, so confirm the exact closing time on the market page. Trades cannot be placed after the market closes.
The 11 outcomes correspond to discrete ranges of the halftime scoring margin (for example, a range favoring Oklahoma, a range favoring Arkansas, and tie/near-tie bins). Consult the market description on KALSHI for the exact interval boundaries that define each outcome.
The outcome is determined by the official halftime score recorded by the game officials; whichever predefined margin bin contains that score is the winning outcome. If the game is suspended, postponed, or otherwise altered, settlement follows KALSHI's stated resolution rules.
Only points officially on the scoreboard at halftime count for settlement. Official scoring reversals resulting from replay reviews are reflected if they are recorded in the official halftime score; non-game activities and pregame plays do not count.
Late-breaking news can materially shift first-half expectations because this market isolates early-game periods; monitor official injury reports, announced starters, and weather updates in the lead-up to kickoff and adjust positions before the market closes.