| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chet Holmgren: 2+ | 44% | 41¢ | 43¢ | — | $103 | Trade → |
| Chet Holmgren: 4+ | 0% | 5¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chet Holmgren: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chet Holmgren: 3+ | 0% | 16¢ | 18¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chet Holmgren: 1+ | 0% | 69¢ | 75¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which three-pointers outcome will occur in the Oklahoma City at Chicago game; it matters because three-point production is a key driver of game outcomes and betting markets for NBA matchups.
NBA teams differ in how much they rely on the three-point shot, and those tendencies interact with roster construction, coaching strategy, and matchup specifics. For this game, team styles, recent form, and any roster or rotation changes will shape how many three-pointers are attempted and made.
Market prices reflect the consensus of traders about which three-pointers outcome will occur and update as new information (injuries, starting lineups, pace) becomes available; interpret changes as the market incorporating fresh, public information rather than as fixed predictions.
The market close time is set by KALSHI and listed on the event page; many game-related markets close shortly before tip-off, but because this event shows "Closes: TBD" you should watch the event page for the official closing timestamp.
Primary perimeter scorers and three-point specialists from each team's active roster and the projected starters have the biggest impact; check the game-day lineups and which bench shooters are listed as likely to play.
Whether overtime counts depends on the market's resolution rules; the event page or market contract terms will state explicitly if overtime is included, so confirm those rules before trading.
Late injuries or scratches to key shooters can materially change expected three-point totals because they alter who is taking perimeter minutes; markets typically react quickly once official injury reports or starting lineups are released.
Settlement is determined by the official game statistics as specified in the market rules—usually the league's official box score or a designated data provider—so consult the event's resolution terms for the exact source.