| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NRG | 46% | 45¢ | 46¢ | — | $546 | Trade → |
| NIP | 57% | 54¢ | 57¢ | — | $335 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will win the NRG vs. NIP matchup on KALSHI; it matters to traders because the result determines payouts and reflects each org's competitive standing in the listed tournament.
NRG and Ninjas in Pyjamas (NIP) are established esports organizations that have faced one another across multiple events and seasons; the specific game, tournament stage, and recent roster moves listed on the event page shape the context for this matchup. Historical head-to-head results, current form, and the stakes of the tournament (group stage vs. playoffs) are the main background elements that influence expectations.
Market prices on KALSHI represent the collective view of participants about the likely match winner and update as new information arrives; they are a snapshot of market sentiment rather than guarantees of outcome.
The market resolves to the single outcome identified on the event page — typically which team wins the listed match. Check the event description on KALSHI for whether it covers a single game, a series, or a specific leg of a tournament.
The event listing shows the close time as TBD; KALSHI will close the market at the time specified by the event organizer or immediately before the official match start once the schedule is published, so monitor the event page for updates.
Resolution depends on the market’s rules shown on the event page: some listings cover a single map, others a full series. The KALSHI event description will specify the format (e.g., best-of-one or best-of-three) and therefore what counts as a win.
Public roster changes, stand-ins, or coach-led lineups are material information that typically move market sentiment; evaluate the experience and recent performance of any replacement players and allow the market time to incorporate that news.
Head-to-head history provides useful context but is only one input — prioritize recent form, current rosters, and the specific maps/meta of the event because teams and game balance can change over time.