| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic -7.5 games | 98% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| Novak Djokovic -5.5 games | 35% | 0¢ | 12¢ | — | $65 | Trade → |
| Novak Djokovic -1.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic -5.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic -1.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Novak Djokovic -3.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic -7.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic -3.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many games Novak Djokovic will win relative to Aleksandar Kovacevic, packaged as a game-spread with multiple outcome brackets. It matters because it gives traders exposure to match dominance and margin rather than only the match winner.
Novak Djokovic is an experienced, top-level champion while Aleksandar Kovacevic is a younger challenger; their matchup typically contrasts experience and consistency versus raw power and momentum. The market on KALSHI currently offers eight outcome brackets and has attracted modest volume ($101); the market close time is listed as TBD and will be set before the match.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders about which spread bracket is most likely and will move as new information arrives (injuries, lineups, conditions). Treat prices as a real-time consensus signal, not a guarantee of any single outcome.
Each outcome corresponds to a range for the final difference in games won between Djokovic and Kovacevic; the winning bracket is the one that contains the official game-differential from the final match score.
Settlement uses the official final match score reported by the tournament: all games from completed sets count toward the cumulative game differential, and the outcome bracket containing that differential pays out.
The market close is listed as TBD; KALSHI will announce a specific cutoff before the scheduled match start—markets commonly close at or shortly before the match begins to prevent trading on in-play information.
Consider the combination of head-to-head history (if available), recent match lengths and dominance, performance on the scheduled surface, and short-term form—Djokovic's experience often reduces variance, while Kovacevic's serving and form can increase the chance of tighter scorelines.
Settlement follows KALSHI's published market rules and the tournament's official result records; if no official final score exists the platform will apply its contingency procedures (which may include voiding or applying a defined resolution rule) as noted on the event page.