| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals scored | 60% | 58¢ | 60¢ | — | $737 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 goals scored | 20% | 17¢ | 19¢ | — | $82 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 goals scored | 38% | 35¢ | 37¢ | — | $64 | Trade → |
| Over 1.5 goals scored | 82% | 80¢ | 82¢ | — | $13 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the total number of goals scored in the Nottingham at Manchester City match. It matters because totals markets aggregate expectations about scoring and respond quickly to pre-match news and in-game events.
Manchester City are typically a high-scoring home side while Nottingham (Forest) have had variable attacking output and sometimes adopt a more defensive approach against stronger opponents. Head-to-head history, recent form, injuries, squad rotation, and the match’s competition and scheduling all shape expectations about how many goals will be scored.
Market prices reflect the collective view of participants about which total-goals outcome is most likely; prices move as traders incorporate new information such as lineups, injuries, and weather. Use changes in price and liquidity as real-time signals of how expectations are shifting rather than as fixed forecasts.
The market close time is listed as TBD on the event page; platforms commonly close futures-style markets before kickoff and settle using the official match score at the final whistle. Check the KALSHI event page for the exact close and settlement rules.
The four outcomes correspond to different total-goals ranges or thresholds for the match (for example discrete bands or over/under cutoffs). The event page lists the exact definitions for each outcome—refer to that legend to see which goal totals map to each outcome.
Past head-to-head results provide context on likely game flow—if past matches have been high-scoring that's informative, but you should weigh that against current season form, squad changes, and venue since historical patterns can shift.
Goals recorded in the official match report—including those in stoppage time—count toward the total; own goals, penalty goals, and goals after VAR reviews are included as recorded by the official result. Confirm the platform’s settlement criteria if you need further detail.
Monitor late-breaking items like confirmed lineups, injuries, weather, and managerial comments before trading; low volume means prices can be more volatile and spreads wider, so consider execution risk and position size relative to available liquidity.