| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | 0% | 2¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke | 0% | 2¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which team will win the Notre Dame vs Duke matchup and aggregates participant expectations about the game's outcome. It matters because markets summarize incoming information — injuries, lineups, and other news — into a single, continuously updating view of sentiment.
Notre Dame and Duke are well-known collegiate athletic programs with distinct histories and coaching traditions; the relevance of each program varies by sport and season. Head-to-head outcomes typically reflect current-season form, roster health, and matchup dynamics rather than historical reputation alone. For this market, details such as the sport, venue, and timing will shape which historical comparisons and metrics matter most.
Market prices represent the crowd’s assessment of which side is more likely to win given available information and will move as new information arrives. Treat prices as a real-time sentiment indicator to combine with sport-specific analysis, not as a definitive prediction.
The market closing time is listed as TBD on the event page; KALSHI will publish the official close time there. Markets like this commonly close before the scheduled game start or at a platform-specified cutoff, so check the market page for updates.
This is a binary head-to-head market: one outcome is a Notre Dame win and the other is a Duke win. Settlement will be determined by the officially recorded result for the game by the sport’s governing body.
Settlement follows KALSHI’s event rules: typically the platform uses the official result for the game as the settlement source. If a game is postponed or canceled, consult the market’s rules and KALSHI’s resolution policy to see whether the market is extended, voided, or otherwise adjusted.
Focus on sport-relevant metrics: for basketball, watch offensive/defensive efficiency, turnover rate, rebound margin, three-point percentage, and free-throw rate; for football, monitor rushing/passing yards, third-down and red-zone efficiency, and turnover margin. Also track any player-specific stats for likely starters.
Late injury reports or lineup changes, confirmed suspensions, venue or weather updates (for outdoor sports), unexpected travel or availability issues, and large trades or spikes in betting volume can all move the market. Official announcements from teams and timely injury reports are especially influential.