| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Notre Dame wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Notre Dame wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Notre Dame wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vanderbilt wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vanderbilt wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vanderbilt wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vanderbilt wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vanderbilt wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vanderbilt wins by over 17.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vanderbilt wins by over 20.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the point margin will fall in the college football game between Notre Dame and Vanderbilt; it matters because the spread reflects market expectations about which team will win by how many points. Traders use this to express views on game-day factors like injuries, matchups, and coaching decisions.
Notre Dame is a high-profile independent program that often fields strong recruiting classes and national schedules; Vanderbilt is an SEC team that typically emphasizes defense and player development within a power-conference environment. These teams do not meet frequently, so head-to-head history may be limited and season context — recent form, injuries, and roster experience — is important for assessing this matchup.
Market prices on the spread correspond to the collective view of which point-margin bracket the final score will land in; higher prices indicate stronger market support for a particular spread outcome. Interpret movement as traders incorporating new information (injuries, weather, lineup changes) rather than absolute certainty.
The market's close is listed as TBD on the event page; Kalshi markets for games typically close at or shortly before the scheduled kickoff, but you should check the market page for the official close time and any updates.
Each outcome corresponds to a distinct point-margin range for the final score (for example, different buckets of margin of victory). The market description or contract details will list the exact ranges used for settlement.
Late-breaking news is typically incorporated quickly by traders and will move prices across outcomes; significant injuries or lineup changes tend to shift market consensus toward outcomes that reflect a larger or smaller expected margin depending on the player’s impact.
Home-field can influence crowd noise, travel fatigue for the visitor, and minor officiating biases, all of which can be marginal advantages; assess home-field alongside matchup specifics (e.g., whether Vanderbilt’s style counters Notre Dame’s strengths) rather than treating it as a fixed point value.
Settlement uses the official final score after all regulation and overtime periods are complete, so the margin used to determine which outcome wins will include any overtime scoring; check the market's settlement rules for confirmation.