| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 26% | 5¢ | 26¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Northern Kentucky wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 16¢ | 40¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Green Bay wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 15¢ | 36¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Green Bay wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 26¢ | 50¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Northern Kentucky wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 8¢ | 29¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Northern Kentucky wins the 1H by over 14.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Green Bay wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Green Bay wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Northern Kentucky wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Northern Kentucky wins the 1H by over 17.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Northern Kentucky wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 31¢ | 53¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the first half point spread will fall between Northern Kentucky and Green Bay. First-half markets matter because they isolate the opening 20 minutes of play, where starting lineups, game plan and early momentum have outsized effects.
Northern Kentucky and Green Bay are conference opponents with a history of competitive matchups; first-half performance in these games often reflects coaching matchups and the aggressiveness of opening strategies. Unlike full-game markets, first-half spreads emphasize starters, early rotation decisions, and game-opening tempo rather than late-game adjustments. Because this market closes TBD, watch pregame lineups and last-minute news for the most relevant information.
Market prices represent the collective expectations of traders on KALSHI and will move as new information arrives; interpret them as a snapshot of consensus sentiment about the first 20 minutes rather than a fixed prediction.
The listing shows the market closes TBD; on KALSHI the platform will post the official close time and typically closes before the scheduled game tip-off or when event conditions make resolution possible.
Resolution is based on the official point differential after the first half (the opening 20 minutes) as recorded by the official game statistics; the market’s specific payout rules and any tie/push conditions are defined on the event page.
Late lineup changes can materially shift expectations for the first half because this market centers on starters and early rotations; traders typically react to official starting lineup announcements and injury reports in the minutes before tip-off.
Yes — historical first-half results, coaching matchups and matchup-specific advantages (e.g., defensive schemes that slow early offense) can inform expectations, though past outcomes are only one input alongside current roster and health information.
Key in-game indicators include which team controls tempo, early shooting accuracy (especially from three), foul trouble to starters, bench contribution, and momentum swings from runs or turnovers — any of these can rapidly change the likely first-half differential.