| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 147.5 points scored | 47% | 47¢ | 49¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Over 150.5 points scored | 44% | 38¢ | 44¢ | — | $158 | Trade → |
| Over 153.5 points scored | 35% | 31¢ | 36¢ | — | $69 | Trade → |
| Over 138.5 points scored | 65% | 66¢ | 72¢ | — | $35 | Trade → |
| Over 144.5 points scored | 58% | 54¢ | 57¢ | — | $25 | Trade → |
| Over 129.5 points scored | 89% | 82¢ | 89¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| Over 135.5 points scored | 79% | 72¢ | 79¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| Over 132.5 points scored | 0% | 77¢ | 84¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 159.5 points scored | 0% | 19¢ | 25¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 156.5 points scored | 0% | 24¢ | 30¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 141.5 points scored | 0% | 59¢ | 66¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 162.5 points scored | 0% | 13¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which combined points total the North Carolina vs. Duke game will fall into and matters because it aggregates real-money judgments about how high- or low-scoring this specific rivalry game will be.
North Carolina vs. Duke is one of college basketball’s most storied rivalries; game pace, coaching matchups, and the crowd at Duke’s home court often influence scoring in ways that differ from neutral non-rivalry matchups. Market participants typically weigh team form, recent offensive and defensive performance, and availability of key players when assessing total points.
Market prices for each outcome reflect traders’ collective expectations for which scoring range the game will land in and will move as new information (lineups, injuries, tempo indicators) arrives; consult the event page for the exact definitions of each outcome bucket and any rules about overtime inclusion.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific range or bucket of combined points scored by both teams as defined on the event page; check that page for the exact numerical ranges and whether they cover only regulation or include overtime.
Closing rules are set by the market operator; many game-total markets close at the official game start time, but you should confirm the closing timestamp on the Kalshi event page because it may be updated or listed as TBD.
Whether overtime counts depends on the market’s settlement rules; the event page or market rules will state explicitly if total points include overtime, so check those details before making a trade.
Late injuries or lineup changes can materially change expected scoring—loss of a primary scorer lowers expected points, while loss of a top defender can raise them—so markets often move quickly after official injury updates or starting lineup releases.
Historical head-to-head scores provide context about rivalry tendencies but may not predict a single game well; give greater weight to recent team offensive/defensive metrics, current rosters, and situational factors (home court, fatigue, coaching strategy) rather than distant historical results.