| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina wins by over 2.5 Points | 6% | 1¢ | 7¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| North Carolina wins by over 11.5 Points | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $565 | Trade → |
| North Carolina wins by over 14.5 Points | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $437 | Trade → |
| North Carolina wins by over 8.5 Points | 1% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $281 | Trade → |
| North Carolina wins by over 32.5 Points | 94% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $269 | Trade → |
| North Carolina wins by over 29.5 Points | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $250 | Trade → |
| North Carolina wins by over 5.5 Points | 1% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $250 | Trade → |
| North Carolina wins by over 26.5 Points | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $250 | Trade → |
| North Carolina wins by over 17.5 Points | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $250 | Trade → |
| North Carolina wins by over 23.5 Points | 1% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $250 | Trade → |
| North Carolina wins by over 20.5 Points | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $250 | Trade → |
This market asks which point-spread outcome will occur in the North Carolina at Duke game, letting traders express views on the margin of victory. Spread markets matter because they aggregate public information about team health, matchups, and game flow into tradable outcomes.
North Carolina vs. Duke is one of college basketball's marquee rivalries, often producing close, emotionally charged games that can move spreads quickly. This specific event currently shows 11 distinct spread outcomes and has seen $5,810 in total volume traded; the market close time is listed as TBD on the platform.
Interpret contract prices as the market's consensus about which margin-range is most likely to occur, not as precise score predictions; prices change as new information (injuries, lineups, rest) arrives and traders update positions.
The official close time is listed as TBD on the event page; typical practice is for spread markets to close at or shortly before the scheduled game tip-off—check the KALSHI event page for the exact close and any updates.
This market offers 11 distinct spread outcomes; each contract corresponds to a specific point-margin interval, so buying one expresses belief the final margin will fall within that interval.
Unless the event rules state otherwise, settlement is based on the official final score as recorded by game officials, which typically includes overtime; confirm the settlement rules on the event page.
Late-breaking items such as starting lineup announcements, injury updates or minutes restrictions for star players, coach confirmations about rotations, and official travel or rest reports are the most influential for this matchup.
Settlement in the event of postponement or cancellation follows KALSHI's marketplace rules; common outcomes include voiding contracts and issuing refunds if the game is not played within a specified timeframe—check the platform's contract terms for the definitive policy.