| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Noguchi | 56% | 56¢ | 59¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Antoine Ghibaudo | 44% | 44¢ | 45¢ | — | $459 | Trade → |
This market concerns which competitor will win the sporting contest titled "Noguchi vs Ghibaudo" on KALSHI; it matters because market prices aggregate real-time information and expectations about the match outcome.
Noguchi and Ghibaudo are the two named participants in a single matched contest; background items that typically matter include recent performance, any prior meetings between them, and the stakes of the matchup (e.g., title, qualifier, exhibition). Event specifics such as scheduled date, venue, and official rules drive the competitive context and can change lead-up dynamics, so consult the official event listing for definitive details.
Prediction market odds are market prices that reflect the balance of money and information placed on each outcome; they update as new public information arrives and are best read as real‑time signals of collective expectations rather than fixed predictions.
The market close is listed as TBD on KALSHI; typically the market will close before the contest begins—check the KALSHI listing for an updated close time.
The winning outcome is the competitor officially declared the winner by the event organizer and recorded for settlement by KALSHI according to the market contract wording.
Settlement in those scenarios follows KALSHI’s resolution rules for the contract; if the event produces no official winner the market may be voided or resolved per the exchange’s stated policy—consult the contract terms on KALSHI.
Watch injury updates, weigh-ins or equivalent fitness checks, official bout order and timing, late substitutions, and statements from camps or event officials that could change expectations.
Volume of $2,830 indicates the total money traded so far and gives a rough sense of liquidity: lower volume can mean less depth and larger price impact for new trades, while higher volume usually implies tighter spreads and easier trading—also monitor the order book and recent fills on KALSHI.