| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torey Lovullo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Walt Weiss | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Craig Counsell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Terry Francona | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Warren Schaeffer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dave Roberts | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Clayton McCullough | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pat Murphy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Carlos Mendoza | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rob Thomson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Don Kelly | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oliver Marmol | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Craig Stammen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tony Vitello | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Blake Butera | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie/Co-Winners | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individual will be named the National League Manager of the Year and aggregates trader expectations about that outcome. It matters because the award recognizes managerial performance and the market captures how observers weigh team results, narratives, and voter tendencies.
The BBWAA's Manager of the Year is an annual award that historically rewards a manager's regular-season performance, including overachievement relative to preseason expectations, injury management, and roster construction outcomes. This market, listed on KALSHI with 16 outcomes and $1,566 total volume traded, lets traders express views on a field of candidates; final resolution will follow the official award announcement referenced by the market. Voter habits and late-season narratives often influence the result in ways that persist across years.
Market prices represent the aggregate beliefs of participants and update as new information arrives; interpret them as real-time indicators of consensus confidence rather than guarantees. With relatively low total volume, price movements can reflect both news and the impact of individual trades, so check liquidity before drawing strong conclusions.
The market will resolve to the individual officially announced as the National League Manager of the Year by the awarding body referenced in the market (typically the BBWAA); the market page will list the official resolution rules and the close time if set, otherwise resolution occurs upon the official announcement.
The 16 outcomes correspond to the specific managers included in this market’s field—often a curated set of candidates or all NL managers—so review the outcome labels on the market page to see which managers are represented and whether that field is the full league or a shortlist.
The BBWAA award primarily reflects regular-season performance, but late-season results, playoff qualification, and postseason narratives can influence voter sentiment and therefore market prices; when evaluating the market, emphasize regular-season metrics while monitoring late-season developments that shape narratives.
Resolution follows the official announcement and the market’s stated rules: if the awarding body declares a tie or co-winners, consult the market’s resolution policy to see whether it accepts multiple winners, splits settlement, or has a specified tie procedure.
Total volume is a snapshot of interest and liquidity; with $1,566 traded across 16 outcomes, expect relatively modest liquidity—watch volume spikes and price changes for meaningful information, and be cautious that thin liquidity can amplify price moves from individual trades.