| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT Rio Grande Valley wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 35% | 14¢ | 34¢ | — | $99 | Trade → |
| Nicholls St. wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 29% | 14¢ | 29¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| Nicholls St. wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 25% | 7¢ | 26¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| UT Rio Grande Valley wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 25% | 4¢ | 24¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Nicholls St. wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UT Rio Grande Valley wins the 1H by over 16.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UT Rio Grande Valley wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 54¢ | 76¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nicholls St. wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 53¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UT Rio Grande Valley wins the 1H by over 19.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 53¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UT Rio Grande Valley wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 24¢ | 47¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UT Rio Grande Valley wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the first-half scoring margin will fall between Nicholls St. and UT Rio Grande Valley. First-half spread markets matter because they isolate early-game dynamics and can move differently than full-game markets.
Both programs field NCAA Division I teams, and first-half outcomes often reflect starting lineup matchups, early-game strategy, and tempo rather than second-half adjustments. Historical head-to-head results and recent form can inform expectations, but first-half spreads are especially sensitive to pregame news and opening rotations.
Market prices represent the consensus view of where the first-half margin is likely to land and will move as new information arrives; interpret prices as real-time signals about early-game expectations rather than fixed forecasts.
Check the event page for the official close time (listed as TBD); the market outcome is determined by the official halftime score as recorded by the game's governing authority and resolved per KALSHI rules.
This event offers multiple discrete outcomes (11 total) that correspond to different first-half margin ranges or specific spread states; each outcome represents a particular range of halftime scoring differentials.
Resolution for ties or exact-margin cases follows the platform's official rules; consult KALSHI's event resolution policy for this market to see how pushes or boundary cases are treated.
Watch starting lineup announcements, injury and scratch reports, late travel or illness news, and any coach comments about rotation or strategy — changes in those items tend to move first-half expectations most.
Early hot shooting or cold starts, turnovers, offensive rebounds, and early fouls or ejections are the main in-game factors that can quickly change the first-half margin.