| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kirill Kaprizov | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Leon Draisaitl | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nikita Kucherov | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Auston Matthews | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| David Pastrnak | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jack Eichel | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Connor Hellebuyck | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jack Hughes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cale Makar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mitch Marner | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Quinn Hughes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mikko Rantanen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Artemi Panarin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Igor Shesterkin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kyle Connor | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| William Nylander | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brady Tkachuk | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Connor Bedard | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dustin Wolf | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Macklin Celebrini | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nick Suzuki | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Adam Fox | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Adrian Kempe | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alex Debrincat | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alex Ovechkin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alexander Nikishin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders bet on who will win the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy (the league's regular-season most valuable player award). It matters because it aggregates public expectations about which player's regular-season performance and perceived value will earn voters' favor.
The Hart Memorial Trophy has been awarded since the 1924–25 season and is decided by votes from members of the Professional Hockey Writers' Association; the prize recognizes the player judged most valuable to his team for the regular season. Historically the award tends to favor high-scoring forwards and players with clear impact on team results, while goaltenders and defensemen win less often. The official announcement happens at the NHL Awards ceremony after the playoffs, although the award itself is for regular-season play.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of traders and will move as new information (scoring rates, injuries, trades, media narratives) emerges; they are a real-time indicator of market sentiment, not a definitive prediction of the voters' final decision.
Outcomes correspond to specific named players (and may include an 'Other/No Winner' option depending on market design); this market lists 30 outcomes and the exact roster of names is shown on the platform.
No—voters award the Hart based on regular-season performance; however, traders may still react to playoff narratives or late-season developments that affect perceptions of a player's value.
'Closes: TBD' means the platform has not set a final trading cutoff; the market will resolve when the NHL officially announces the Hart Trophy winner (typically at the NHL Awards after the playoffs), and the platform will follow that official announcement for settlement.
Traders monitor late-season scoring trends, underlying advanced metrics (e.g., goals above replacement, possession metrics), injury reports, trades or role changes, team standings, and media/voter commentary that could shift perceptions of a player's value.
Yes—voters consider a player's full-season contributions regardless of team changes; trades can alter a player's role or visibility, prompting rapid market adjustments as traders reassess impact and narrative.