| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks whether a run will be scored during the first inning of the New York Y vs Seattle game; short‑horizon scoring events attract traders who focus on immediate in‑game outcomes and information flow. It matters because first‑inning scoring can set the tone for the rest of the game and is sensitive to pregame news.
First‑inning scoring is influenced by the starting pitchers, the top of each lineup, ballpark factors and game‑day conditions rather than long‑term season trends. Historically, some teams and pitchers show consistent first‑inning tendencies, but those patterns can shift quickly with rotation moves, lineup changes, or weather. For this matchup, attention typically centers on the announced starters, the designated leadoff hitters, and any late scratches announced shortly before first pitch.
Market prices reflect the aggregated view of participants about the likelihood of at least one run being scored in inning one and update as new information arrives. Treat prices as a real‑time consensus signal about first‑inning scoring risk rather than a deterministic prediction.
A 'First Inning Run' is any run officially recorded on the scorecard during inning one (the top or bottom of the first). Runs scored after the first inning, in extra innings, or during later resumed play do not count as first‑inning runs.
The market resolves based on the official scoring of the game once the first inning is complete and the league’s official box score is available; if the game is suspended or postponed before the first inning is finished, settlement follows the exchange’s rules for suspended/postponed games.
Watch the final announced starting pitchers, confirmation of each team’s top‑of‑order hitters, any late scratches or lineup swaps, and weather updates (wind and temperature) at the ballpark, as these items materially change first‑inning scoring expectations.
Late scratches, especially to leadoff hitters or scheduled starters, can materially alter the expected run environment for inning one and often trigger rapid market adjustments because the key inputs for immediate scoring have changed.
This market concerns whether any run is scored during the first inning by either team (top or bottom). If the market tracked a team‑specific first‑inning outcome, that team’s name would be part of the event title.