| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 11.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 7.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 9.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 8.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 10.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 2.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 1.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many combined runs New York Y and San Francisco will score in their upcoming matchup, using 11 discrete outcomes. It matters because it lets traders express views about offense vs. pitching and react to late-breaking game information.
Background context includes each club's recent offensive form, rotation and bullpen matchups, and where the game is played, all of which shape expected scoring. Historical head-to-head trends and season-long park effects can provide useful context, but day-to-day factors like the declared starters and weather often produce the largest changes to expectations.
Market prices summarize the trading market's view of which total-run outcomes are most likely and move as new information arrives. Traders typically watch prices for changes after lineup announcements, pitcher scratchings, or weather updates to infer shifting expectations.
Closure timing is set by the market operator; the outcome will be determined using the official combined runs total from the league's box score for the scheduled game once it is completed, per the platform's resolution rules.
A late change to a starter can meaningfully alter expected runs: replacing an expected innings-eater with a bullpen game raises uncertainty and often increases expected combined runs, while inserting an elite strikeout-heavy starter tends to lower expected runs.
Resolution follows the platform's stated rules tied to the official league decision: the market may wait until the game is completed, settle based on the official stats of a completed game, or be voided, depending on the specific postponement/suspension outcome and operator policy.
Weather and park are significant — wind toward the outfield, high temperature, and hitter-friendly dimensions increase run expectations, while cold, wind to the plate, or spacious parks suppress them; these factors can shift market prices prior to first pitch.
Very actionable: a late scratch of a key power hitter, a rookie starting unexpectedly, or confirmation that a regular will face an unfavorable handed pitcher should change how you view specific total outcomes and are often reflected quickly in market prices.