| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fried: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Logan Webb: 8+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Logan Webb: 10+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Max Fried: 8+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Logan Webb: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Logan Webb: 9+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Max Fried: 6+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Logan Webb: 6+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Logan Webb: 7+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Logan Webb: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Max Fried: 9+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Max Fried: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Max Fried: 7+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Max Fried: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Logan Webb: 11+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks traders to forecast the strikeout outcome for the New York Y vs San Francisco game; it matters because strikeout totals summarize pitching dominance and influence in-game strategy and prop markets. Market prices reflect how participants collectively view factors that drive strikeout volume for this specific matchup.
Both teams' rosters, starting pitchers, bullpen depth, and recent playing conditions shape expectations for strikeouts; over the last decade professional baseball has seen a general rise in strikeout rates as pitching velocity and swing tendencies evolved. This market is hosted on KALSHI and lists 15 discrete outcomes, so traders should inspect how those outcomes map to strikeout ranges or totals.
Market odds/prices indicate how traders are valuing each discrete strikeout outcome given available information and will move as new data arrives (lineups, weather, scratchings, etc.). Use prices as a real-time summary of collective expectations rather than as fixed predictions.
Check the market's outcome labels and official contract terms on the KALSHI page: the event will measure strikeouts according to the contract (often total combined strikeouts or a team-specific total) and settle to the official game statistics specified by the market.
Fifteen outcomes typically means the strikeout range is split into 15 discrete buckets or exact totals; traders should open the market to see whether outcomes represent single totals (e.g., 0–14) or aggregated ranges and trade accordingly.
Settlement rules vary by contract, so consult the market specifications; many game-based strikeout contracts use the official final box score (which includes extra innings) but you must confirm the precise settlement rule on the KALSHI event page.
Pitching changes and scratches are key information for strikeout expectations and typically move prices as traders update beliefs; if a high-strikeout starter is replaced or a lineup change occurs, expect relevant outcome prices to adjust quickly.
Resolution depends on the market's official rules — many contracts stipulate settlement based on the official game completion or a particular governing statistic source; check the event's stated settlement policy on KALSHI for postponement, suspension, and abandonment procedures.