| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Bailey: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Willy Adames: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Matt Chapman: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jung Hoo Lee: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ben Rice: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ryan McMahon: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cody Bellinger: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trent Grisham: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rafael Devers: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Austin Wells: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aaron Judge: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Giancarlo Stanton: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Harrison Bader: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr.: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jerar Encarnacion: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Giancarlo Stanton: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| José Caballero: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Willy Adames: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Matt Chapman: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Casey Schmitt: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trent Grisham: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr.: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rafael Devers: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cody Bellinger: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ben Rice: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Luis Arraez: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Heliot Ramos: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aaron Judge: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific home-run outcome will occur in the New York Y vs San Francisco matchup; it matters because home-run totals strongly affect game results and are central to betting, fantasy outcomes, and in-game strategy.
The market reflects a head-to-head game context where park dimensions, starting pitchers, and announced lineups determine the likely home-run environment. Historically, some venues and pitching matchups produce higher or lower home-run counts, and league-wide power trends can shift expectations over a season. Market listings with multiple discrete outcomes let traders express views on exact home-run totals rather than only over/under ranges.
Market prices indicate the consensus view across traders for each discrete home-run outcome and will move as roster, weather, or starter information changes. Use prices comparatively to see which outcomes the market treats as more or less likely and watch for movement around lineup and starter announcements.
The market lists 27 mutually exclusive outcomes representing specific discrete home-run totals or ranges for this game as displayed on the platform; each outcome resolves to true if that exact total (or designated range) occurs, according to the market's resolution rules.
The market currently shows a close time of TBD; typically the platform will set a cutoff before or at official game start or when a final status is known, so check the event page for the posted close time and any updates.
Resolution follows the exchange's posted rules, which generally use the sport's official game logs, box scores, and the league's official scorer to count home runs; consult the market rules for which sources are authoritative.
Key contributors are the scheduled starting pitchers and any power hitters in the two lineups; heavy power hitters, hitters with recent hot streaks, and pitchers with high home-run rates or low strikeout tendencies are the most influential.
Watch for late lineup changes, scratches, a change in the announced starting pitchers, weather updates (wind or rain), game postponement announcements, or any injury news — each can materially alter expectations and market prices for this event.