| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many total runs will be scored by New York Y and San Francisco during the first five innings of their game. It matters because first-five-inning scoring isolates the early-game matchup between the two starting pitchers and top-of-order hitters, which is useful for short-form trading and hedging.
First-five-inning totals focus on the period when the starting pitchers and top of each lineup have the largest influence. Historical patterns — such as which team tends to score early, recent starting pitcher assignments, and the ballpark's early-inning run environment — provide relevant context for this market. Because lineups and pitching decisions can change up to game time, this market is sensitive to last-minute information.
Market prices reflect the aggregated views of traders about how many runs will be scored in innings one through five; price movement typically follows new information like official lineup announcements, weather updates, or pitching changes. Treat prices as a live summary of consensus rather than fixed truth — they update as conditions change.
Resolution is based on the official game box score for runs scored in innings one through five as recorded by the sport’s official scorer; platform-specific contract rules apply if there is any discrepancy.
The starters are the primary drivers: their ability to generate strikeouts, prevent hard contact, induce ground balls, and avoid walks in early innings shapes expected run totals. Recent workload, matchup history against the opposing lineup, and handedness vs. hitters are all important.
If the game does not produce an official five-inning box score, the market will be resolved according to the event’s contract terms; that may mean voiding, using the official partial score, or following another platform-defined rule—check the contract details for this event.
The market is split into multiple discrete outcome buckets so traders can express expectations across different run ranges or exact totals for the first five innings rather than a single binary over/under choice.
Key items are official starting pitcher confirmations, lineup releases and any late scratches, weather and wind reports for game time, announced bullpen usage or rotation changes, and any injury or travel news affecting either team.