| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco wins first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New York Y wins first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market resolves on the state of the game between New York Y and San Francisco after the first five innings. It matters because early-game results reflect starting-pitcher performance and initial lineup execution, which are important for in-play trading and hedging decisions.
First-5-Innings markets focus exclusively on the scoreboard after both teams have completed five offensive innings. Historical context for these markets includes team tendencies in early offense and starter durability; matchups between starting pitchers and top-of-lineup hitters often drive outcomes. External factors such as weather, the ballpark, and managerial strategy also shape early-game results.
Market prices represent the current consensus about which of the three outcomes will be true after five innings and will move as new information arrives (lineups, scratches, weather, starting pitchers). Treat prices as a real-time summary of trader expectations rather than a fixed prediction.
The outcomes correspond to the game status after five completed innings: New York Y leading, San Francisco leading, or the score being tied. Settlement uses the official score after both teams have completed five offensive innings.
The market close time is listed as TBD on the event page; check the market for the final close. Settlement is determined by the official score after five full innings as recorded by the league and the platform's settlement rules.
Resolution follows the platform's stated settlement policy and the league's official rulings: if five innings are completed before a stoppage, the official score at that point is used; if the game is stopped before five innings and not made official, the platform may void or otherwise follow its stated rule for suspended games—check the event's rule text.
They can have a large effect because the First 5 Innings outcome is driven by the starter's ability to limit runs and the announced batting order. A late scratch or a tougher/easier starter matchup typically leads to rapid price adjustments as traders reassess early-run expectations.
No. Only the scoreboard after the completion of five innings matters for this market; runs scored later in the game (extra innings or subsequent innings) do not influence the First 5 Innings outcome.