| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | 69% | 36¢ | 56¢ | — | $16 | Trade → |
| Toronto | 0% | 27¢ | 47¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team — New York or Toronto — will be leading at the official halftime of the listed matchup (with a third outcome for a tied halftime). It matters because first-half results capture early-game dynamics and can diverge from full-game expectations.
First-half markets isolate the opening period of a game, where starting lineups, early game plans, and initial momentum often determine the score at intermission. Historical head-to-head trends, coaching styles, and how each team structures minutes in the first half are useful context when evaluating this specific matchup.
Market prices represent the consensus of traders about which team will be ahead at halftime given current information and liquidity; they update as new information (lineups, injuries, in-game developments) becomes available.
The three outcomes are: New York leading at the official halftime, Toronto leading at the official halftime, or the halftime score being tied. Settlement depends on the official halftime score as recorded by the league or game officials.
The posted closing time is TBD; traders should check the market page for updates. Settlement occurs after the official halftime score is published by the league and according to KALSHI’s published settlement rules.
Yes — low volume indicates limited liquidity, so quoted prices may move a lot on small trades and reflect fewer participants. Treat signals from low-volume markets as noisier than those from heavily traded markets.
Late changes to starters or key player availability can move the market quickly because they directly change expectations for first-half scoring and matchups. Traders often watch official pregame lineup releases and injury reports for last-minute information.
If the game’s halftime is not completed or the event is postponed/canceled, settlement follows KALSHI’s event rules — typically the market will be voided or settled based on the league’s official determination. Check the platform’s rules for exact procedures.