| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 2¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New York wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 47¢ | 52¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto wins the 1H by over 14.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 2¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 2¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New York wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 2¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto wins the 1H by over 17.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New York wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 2¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New York wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 2¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will cover the first-half point spread between New York and Toronto; it matters for bettors who want exposure to early-game performance rather than full-game outcomes.
The first half spread isolates the opening 24 minutes (basketball) or 30 minutes per side (soccer/football/other sports vary by competition) and reflects short-term match dynamics such as starting lineups and early-game strategy. Historical head-to-head trends, venue, travel and recent form can all shape how each team performs in the opening period. Because the market closes before or at the start of play, late-breaking news (injuries, scratches, lineup confirmations) often has an outsize effect.
Market odds summarize the collective view on which side is expected to lead by more than the posted halftime margin; interpret movements as the market reacting to new information (lineups, injuries, betting flow) rather than precise predictive certainty.
Close time is listed on the KALSHI event page; typically first-half spread markets close at or just before the start of the first half, so verify the exact cutoff on the platform.
Outcome is based on the point margin at official halftime: the market checks the halftime score and determines whether the selected side covered the posted spread; consult the event rules on KALSHI for settlement specifics like pushes or tie rules.
No — only points counted on the official scoreboard at halftime are used to settle the first-half spread; events after halftime, including overtime, do not affect this market.
Late changes to starting lineups, injury reports, player scratches, and coach announcements about rotations or minutes are the primary drivers of market movement for this first-half spread.
Use past first-half results to identify patterns (which team starts stronger, bench scoring, matchup mismatches) but combine that with current-season context, confirmed lineups, rest and travel because lineup changes and short-term circumstances often outweigh distant head-to-head history.