| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 99% | 2¢ | 99¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| New York wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 99% | 2¢ | 99¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| New York wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 2¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles L wins the 1H by over 17.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New York wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 48¢ | 53¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles L wins the 1H by over 14.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles L wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 2¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles L wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 2¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles L wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New York wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles L wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 2¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the first-half point spread between New York and Los Angeles L will resolve; it matters because first-half outcomes capture early-game dynamics and are used by traders and bettors to express expectations about the opening period.
First-half spread markets isolate the opening 24 minutes (or league-specific half length) rather than the full-game result, removing second-half comebacks and late-game strategies from settlement. Historical tendencies — which team starts strong, coaching emphasis on opening possessions, and recent injury or lineup news — are particularly relevant when evaluating this market. Because the market has multiple discrete outcomes, it reflects a range of possible first-half margins rather than a single binary result.
Market prices reflect collective expectations and available liquidity: they move as new information (lineups, injuries, rest, public money) arrives. Use prices as a real-time signal of consensus, but always verify official game data and platform settlement rules before relying on a trade.
The event page lists the close time as TBD; KALSHI will publish the market closing time before trading ends. Typically these markets close shortly before game start, but check the platform for the official closure and any last-minute updates.
Each outcome corresponds to a discrete range of first-half point margins (for example, specific spreads or spread intervals). On settlement, the outcome whose range contains the official first-half margin will be the winning outcome; consult the market description on KALSHI for exact interval definitions.
Watch confirmed starting lineups, injury reports and minute restrictions, coaching comments about rotations, recent first-half scoring trends for both teams, and any late travel or rest news. Also monitor activity and price movement on the market itself, as heavy trades can reflect new information or shifting consensus.
Settlement follows the market’s predefined outcome intervals and the official box score; if the margin falls on a boundary, the platform’s rules determine which interval is inclusive. For definitive tie/boundary resolution, refer to KALSHI’s published settlement rules for this market.
Trades generally remain binding unless KALSHI’s rules specify a void or adjustment condition for late scratches. Markets typically react by repricing as traders incorporate the new information; check the platform’s policy on forced cancellations, disputed trades, and event adjustments for the final authority.