| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 goals | 36% | 33¢ | 36¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| New York R wins by over 1.5 goals | 25% | 23¢ | 25¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| New York R wins by over 2.5 goals | 13% | 14¢ | 16¢ | — | $674 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 goals | 23% | 21¢ | 23¢ | — | $17 | Trade → |
This market asks which side will cover the point spread in the New York R at Philadelphia matchup; it matters because spread markets summarize market expectations about the margin of victory rather than just the winner. Traders use these markets to express views on how large a win or loss will be.
Spread markets are driven by matchup details: recent form, matchup styles, home advantage, and availability of key personnel. Historical head‑to‑head results and situational factors (travel, schedule density) also shape expectations, and market prices update as new information — lineups, injuries, weather — becomes public.
Market prices represent the collective view of which side will cover the specified margin; interpret moves as the market updating on new information or shifts in sentiment. Always check the event’s rules to know exactly what scorelines and periods count for settlement.
The spread specifies a margin of victory that one side must exceed (or stay within) for a particular outcome to pay out. Check the market description to see the exact numeric spread and whether it refers to New York or Philadelphia covering.
Settlement convention varies by market. Consult the event rules on the trading platform to see whether the final score includes overtime/shootout, extra innings, or is limited to regulation.
If the close time is listed as TBD, the platform will update the market with a deadline before trading ends; settlement will follow the platform’s stated rules after the official result. Monitor the event page for the official close time and settlement details.
Handling of unusual outcomes depends on the exchange’s resolution policies: some markets void and refund if the game is not completed, others wait for official reschedule results. Check the site’s dispute and settlement policy for this specific market.
Key movers include official lineup announcements, starter/goalie decisions, injury reports and late scratches, weather or field conditions, and major roster changes or disciplinary news. Large bets and shifting liquidity can also produce quick price movement.