| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans wins the 1H by over 17.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins the 1H by over 14.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Detroit wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Detroit wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Detroit wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Detroit wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Detroit wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which side of the first-half point spread between New Orleans and Detroit will prevail by halftime. It matters because first-half markets isolate early-game matchups and coaching strategies that differ from full-game outcomes.
New Orleans and Detroit come into any matchup with distinct styles of play, roster constructions, and coaching tendencies that often show up immediately in the opening quarters. First-half spreads emphasize starting lineups, initial rotations, and early-game tempo rather than endurance or second-half adjustments. Historical full-game results can provide context, but first-half performance can diverge because of situational factors like mismatches that are exploited early.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of traders about which team will be ahead of the spread at halftime; they are a real-time, crowd-sourced forecast rather than a guarantee. Use those prices as a summary of market sentiment while tracking the underlying news and matchup details that drive movement.
The market offers 11 distinct outcomes tied to different first-half spread results; each outcome corresponds to a particular side or point-differential bracket that will be settled based on the official halftime score.
The listed close time is currently TBD; KALSHI will set a closing time prior to the game, and trading generally ends at the official start of the matchup or at the platform’s announced cutoff—watch the event page for the final close time.
Settlement is based on the official halftime score as recorded by the sport’s governing league; only points/goals scored before the end of regulation halftime count, and any overtime is excluded from first-half settlement.
Rapid movement usually reflects new information—starting lineup news, injury updates, or other late developments—that changes expectations for who will cover the first-half spread; verify official team announcements and evaluate whether the new information justifies the market shift.
Look at recent first-half scoring margins between the teams, how each team’s starting unit has performed, early-quarter offensive and defensive efficiency, turnover tendencies, and any persistent mismatch (e.g., a dominant frontcourt or perimeter defender) that tends to assert itself before halftime.