| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans wins by over 19.5 Points | 11% | 10¢ | 13¢ | — | $590 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins by over 4.5 Points | 51% | 49¢ | 51¢ | — | $121 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins by over 1.5 Points | 59% | 59¢ | 61¢ | — | $28 | Trade → |
| Sacramento wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 12¢ | 22¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sacramento wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 11¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sacramento wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 25¢ | 36¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sacramento wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 17¢ | 29¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 16¢ | 27¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 33¢ | 44¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 24¢ | 36¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 12¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the point-spread outcome for the New Orleans at Sacramento game; it matters because spread markets aggregate betting and informational flows about the expected margin between the teams.
New Orleans and Sacramento are NBA opponents with differing roster construction and styles of play; their matchups can swing on pace, three-point accuracy, and availability of primary scorers. Because the market's close is listed as TBD, the final prices will incorporate pregame developments such as injury reports, rest decisions, and late lineup changes.
Each outcome corresponds to a range of final margins; market prices convey how participants are valuing each margin bucket and will move as new information (injuries, rotations, travel status) arrives before the market locks.
The market close is listed as TBD on the event page; typically a spread market locks at scheduled tip-off and resolves based on the official final score (including overtime per the league box score), but you should confirm the exact lock and resolution times in the market details on the platform.
The 11 outcomes are discrete margin ranges that cover possible final point differentials for this game; choosing an outcome is a prediction that the final score margin will fall into that particular range.
If such news is released before the market locks, traders will typically reprice outcomes to reflect the new information; if announced after the market has closed, the market outcome will be resolved based on the actual game result without retroactive adjustment—monitor official injury reports and the market page closely before lock.
Resolution procedures depend on the platform’s contingency policy—markets are often voided, paused, or adjusted in line with official scheduling changes; check KALSHI’s stated rules for postponements and cancellations for this event.
Use head-to-head results and recent margins to gauge tendencies (e.g., whether games tend to be high- or low-margin), but weigh them alongside current season indicators: recent offensive/defensive efficiency, injury status, home/away splits, and pace — situational context and up-to-date news generally matter more than distant history.