| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić | 17% | 14¢ | 17¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| LeBron James | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $965 | Trade → |
| Derik Queen | 2% | 1¢ | 6¢ | — | $117 | Trade → |
This market asks whether one or more players will record a triple-double in the New Orleans at Los Angeles L game. It matters because triple-doubles are relatively rare box‑score events that can be driven by rotations, matchup dynamics, and late-game minutes, and markets react quickly to news that changes those inputs.
Triple-doubles require a player to reach double digits in three statistical categories (typically points, rebounds, and assists) in a single game. Frequency depends on the rosters and roles on the day: teams with a high-usage playmaker and a versatile rebounder/distributor create the conditions for triple-doubles more often than teams with distributed scoring or short bench minutes. Market prices reflect traders’ aggregation of those contextual signals.
Interpret market odds here as the crowd’s current assessment of whether the box score will include a triple-double in this specific matchup; odds move as new information (injuries, starting lineups, load management, in‑game rotations) becomes available and are not guarantees of outcome.
The likeliest candidates are the game’s primary playmaker(s) and any high‑usage, versatile big who logs heavy minutes and is involved in rebounding and passing. Traders look at who starts, projected minutes, and recent box‑score activity to identify specific players for this game.
Most sports contracts resolve using the official league box score, which includes overtime statistics; however, always check the specific market’s contract text or rules on the exchange for any exceptions or alternate settlement conventions.
Settlement typically occurs after the official final box score is published by the league. The market’s listed close time may be before tipoff or open until the game finishes—consult the market page for the exact close and settlement schedule since it is marked TBD.
Key movers include an announced rest or injury to a primary playmaker or big, unexpected foul trouble or ejection that reduces minutes, a sudden change to the starting lineup, or the game heading to overtime. Pre‑game updates on load management or late scratches also prompt rapid repricing.
Historical rates provide context — teams with players who regularly post all‑around stat lines are more likely sources of triple‑doubles — but head‑to‑head samples are usually small. Traders combine season trends with current lineup and pace information rather than relying only on past matchups between these two teams.