| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James: 2+ | 54% | 50¢ | 54¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Luka Dončić: 4+ | 57% | 47¢ | 56¢ | — | $886 | Trade → |
| Austin Reaves: 4+ | 22% | 16¢ | 22¢ | — | $862 | Trade → |
| LeBron James: 1+ | 80% | 80¢ | 81¢ | — | $766 | Trade → |
| LeBron James: 3+ | 27% | 10¢ | 27¢ | — | $297 | Trade → |
| LeBron James: 5+ | 5% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $149 | Trade → |
| Austin Reaves: 3+ | 41% | 37¢ | 41¢ | — | $142 | Trade → |
| LeBron James: 4+ | 15% | 0¢ | 15¢ | — | $122 | Trade → |
| Trey Murphy III: 4+ | 47% | 43¢ | 47¢ | — | $109 | Trade → |
| Austin Reaves: 2+ | 68% | 41¢ | 67¢ | — | $49 | Trade → |
| Luka Dončić: 6+ | 23% | 15¢ | 23¢ | — | $41 | Trade → |
| Luka Dončić: 2+ | 87% | 66¢ | 90¢ | — | $37 | Trade → |
| Luka Dončić: 3+ | 77% | 51¢ | 76¢ | — | $34 | Trade → |
| Austin Reaves: 1+ | 90% | 65¢ | 90¢ | — | $23 | Trade → |
| Austin Reaves: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Derik Queen: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 92¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Derik Queen: 1+ | 0% | 2¢ | 29¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trey Murphy III: 6+ | 0% | 6¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trey Murphy III: 2+ | 0% | 60¢ | 85¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Luka Dončić: 5+ | 0% | 9¢ | 37¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trey Murphy III: 3+ | 0% | 41¢ | 68¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Derik Queen: 2+ | 0% | 1¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Derik Queen: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 91¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trey Murphy III: 5+ | 0% | 15¢ | 29¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Derik Queen: 3+ | 0% | 1¢ | 78¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the number of three-pointers made in the New Orleans at Los Angeles L game; it matters because three-point production often swings game outcomes and is sensitive to matchup and lineup changes.
The two teams involved have different offensive profiles and rotation tendencies that affect three-point attempts and makes. Historical trends, recent lineup decisions, and whether key shooters are available all shape expectations for how many threes will be attempted and converted in this matchup.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders about which three-point total outcome is most likely given available information; prices change as new information (injuries, starting lineups, rest, in-game developments) becomes available.
Close timing is set by the market operator (KALSHI). Typically markets like this close at or just before the official game tip-off or when the operator specifies; check the market page for the exact close time.
The 25 outcomes are discrete buckets covering the range of possible three-point totals for this specific New Orleans at Los Angeles L game; each outcome corresponds to a particular total or range that will be used to determine the winning contract at settlement.
Resolution is based on the official three-pointers made as recorded in the game’s official box score by the league/official scorer for the New Orleans at Los Angeles L matchup; the market pays the outcome that matches that official figure or the bucket that contains it.
Key items include announced starting lineups, late scratches or injury reports, travel/rest notes, coaching decisions about rotations, and any in-season transactions; these all can materially change expected three-point volume for this matchup.
Settlement in those scenarios follows the operator’s rules: markets can be paused, voided, or resolved based on official determinations and whether the game is completed within the operator’s specified window—consult the market’s rules or announcements for the precise policy.