| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Montreal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which side will prevail in the New England vs Montreal match (three-outcome market: New England win, draw, Montreal win). It matters because it aggregates market expectations about the match outcome and reacts to live information such as lineups, injuries, and weather.
New England (MLS/Revolution) and Montreal (CF Montréal) are established clubs in the same league with recurring matchups that carry tactical familiarity and regional interest. Historical results, recent form, roster changes, and fixture congestion all provide context but do not determine any single match outcome.
Market prices reflect traders’ collective expectations and update as new information arrives; they can be used as one input for assessing match likelihoods but should be combined with independent analysis of team news and conditions.
The market covers three settlement outcomes: a New England win, a draw (tie), and a Montreal win. Settlement is based on the official match result as determined by the competition authorities.
The market closing time is listed on the event page as TBD; KALSHI will update the event with a firm close time prior to kickoff. Check the event page or platform notifications for the official close.
Head-to-head history can reveal tactical matchups and psychological edges, but treat it alongside recent form, roster turnover, and context (e.g., season stage). Past results are informative but not determinative for a single match.
Monitor official starting XI announcements, injury and suspension reports, late transfers, and any coaching or tactical statements. Changes to the goalkeeper, primary striker, or key playmaker typically have the largest immediate impact on expectations.
Late injury/suspension notices, starting lineup leaks, extreme weather advisories, travel disruptions, red-card or disciplinary news pre-match, and significant betting activity can all produce quick odds adjustments.