| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 50¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many combined runs will be scored in the first five innings of the Netherlands vs Dominican Republic game. It matters because first-five totals capture early-game dynamics — starting pitchers, lineups, and game script — which often drive short-term trading opportunities.
The Netherlands and the Dominican Republic are established competitors in international baseball; the Dominican roster typically features many high-level professional hitters while the Netherlands often fields a disciplined lineup and strong pitching performances from both European- and Caribbean-based talent. Past international matchups have shown that outcomes can swing based on starting pitchers, small-sample variance, and in-game strategy rather than pregame reputations alone.
Market prices reflect the trading community’s consensus about which run-range (one of the seven outcomes) is most likely for innings 1–5 and will move as new information arrives. Treat prices as a snapshot of collective expectations that update with lineup announcements, pitching changes, and game-day conditions.
It measures the combined runs scored by both teams during innings one through five, inclusive; the settled value and which outcome wins will be based on the official box score as defined by the market operator.
No. Only runs logged during the first five innings count toward settlement; runs scored later in the game are excluded.
Such announcements typically move expectations materially: a substitute starter or the loss/addition of a key hitter changes expected run-scoring for the first five innings, and markets tend to update quickly as that information is public.
The seven outcomes are mutually exclusive buckets that jointly cover the range of plausible first-five run totals; check the event page on the platform to see the exact labels and boundaries for each outcome before trading.
Settlement follows KALSHI’s official rules and the sport’s governing box score: the market will settle once the official first-five innings result is determined. If the game is suspended, shortened, or subject to official review, settlement will follow the operator’s published policy for such situations.