| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle wins by over 1.5 goals | 31% | 28¢ | 31¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Nashville wins by over 1.5 goals | 30% | 29¢ | 30¢ | — | $97 | Trade → |
| Nashville wins by over 2.5 goals | 16% | 16¢ | 19¢ | — | $75 | Trade → |
| Seattle wins by over 2.5 goals | 21% | 19¢ | 21¢ | — | $36 | Trade → |
This market asks which side of the Nashville at Seattle point spread will prevail; it matters because spread outcomes summarize expected margin-of-victory and respond quickly to game-day information.
The market applies to a scheduled contest between Nashville and Seattle and reflects collective views about which team will cover the quoted margin. Historical matchups, injuries, travel and recent team form all provide context for how markets price the spread. Because the market closes close to kickoff, late-breaking news often drives the largest movements.
Odds on the market represent the aggregate view of traders about which spread outcome is most likely to occur and will change as new information arrives; watching movement can reveal how the market is reacting to developments like injury reports or weather.
The four outcomes divide possible final point-margin scenarios into distinct spread-based categories defined on the market page; check the market's outcome labels and description for the exact margin ranges and settlement rules for this event.
The close time is listed as TBD — markets like this typically close at the official scheduled kickoff time or at the time specified on the market page; if the game is postponed or rescheduled, settlement follows KALSHI's event and force-majeure rules, so consult the market terms and platform notices for this specific event.
Watch official injury reports and starter confirmations, last-minute scratches, weather updates for Seattle, pregame reports on travel/fatigue, and any coaching or lineup announcements; large pregame betting flows and media reports can also move the market.
Head-to-head history provides context but should be weighed alongside current rosters, coaching changes, and recent form; past results can be informative for matchup patterns but are less predictive if personnel or situational factors have changed significantly.
Settlement for pushes, exact-margin boundaries, or ties is governed by the market's official settlement rules; some spread markets include explicit push outcomes or range-based outcomes, so review the market's settlement specifications and KALSHI's rules or contact support for clarifications specific to this event.