| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo wins by over 1.5 goals | 43% | 42¢ | 43¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Buffalo wins by over 2.5 goals | 25% | 25¢ | 30¢ | — | $178 | Trade → |
| Nashville wins by over 1.5 goals | 16% | 16¢ | 22¢ | — | $13 | Trade → |
| Nashville wins by over 2.5 goals | 8% | 8¢ | 15¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
This market asks how the point spread for the NFL game Nashville at Buffalo will resolve and is useful because spread prices aggregate trader expectations about the margin of victory and relative team strength. The market’s liquidity (total volume traded $7,652) can affect how quickly prices respond to news.
Buffalo’s home-field environment, travel for the Nashville team, recent roster health, and matchup-specific strengths and weaknesses all shape expectations for the spread. Historical head-to-head trends and each team’s recent performance cycles also provide context, while late-breaking injury or roster news often produces the largest pregame price moves.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders about which side of the posted spread is more likely to occur; they are a live signal you can compare with sportsbook lines and your own analysis rather than a definitive prediction.
The event page shows the close as TBD; typically spread markets close at or just before game kickoff but the exact close time is set by the platform. Settlement occurs after the official final score is posted and any league-confirmed game rulings are applied.
A four-outcome spread market normally divides possible final margins into discrete ranges (for example, one side covers by a defined margin, the other side covers, and one or more intermediate ranges). The precise outcome definitions and boundaries are listed on the KALSHI event page and determine how the market settles.
Significant pregame injury news typically triggers rapid price movement as traders incorporate new information; if the platform allows trading after kickoff it may halt or restrict trades and will rely on official game information for settlement.
Settlement follows the market’s specific rules on push or tie outcomes—many prediction markets specify whether a boundary equals a push (resulting in refunds on affected contracts) or is assigned to a particular outcome, so check the event’s settlement rules on the platform.
Compare the market price to sportsbook lines to identify divergent views or potential value, but account for differences in liquidity, fees, timing, and settlement rules; use both sources as inputs to your own assessment rather than relying on either alone.