| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowman | 5% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Resolved |
| Cody Ware | 8% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Kyle Busch | 69% | 16¢ | 75¢ | — | $446 | Trade → |
| Ty Dillon | 38% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $321 | Trade → |
| Erik Jones | 53% | 15¢ | 81¢ | — | $320 | Trade → |
| Ryan Blaney | 93% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $32 | Trade → |
| Chase Briscoe | 93% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $19 | Trade → |
| Joey Logano | 92% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $17 | Trade → |
| Carson Hocevar | 50% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $15 | Trade → |
| Chase Elliott | 92% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $13 | Trade → |
| Shane Van Gisbergen | 94% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| William Byron | 94% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| Josh Berry | 94% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| Chris Buescher | 93% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| Denny Hamlin | 93% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| Kyle Larson | 94% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| Zane Smith | 94% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| AJ Allmendinger | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tyler Reddick | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Todd Gilliland | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bubba Wallace | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Riley Herbst | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John H. Nemechek | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ricky Stenhouse | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cole Custer | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Connor Zilisch | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Christopher Bell | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Austin Cindric | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ryan Preece | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Noah Gragson | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael McDowell | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ross Chastain | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ty Gibbs | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Austin Hill | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Austin Dillon | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brad Keselowski | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Daniel Suárez | 0% | 14¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which drivers will finish among the top 20 in the NASCAR Straight Talk Wireless 500; top-20 results are a common performance benchmark that affect points, team momentum, and market interest.
The Straight Talk Wireless 500 is a NASCAR Cup Series race carrying the same competitive dynamics as other points-paying events: a large field of entrants, multiple teams with different strengths, and outcomes shaped by strategy and incidents over the race distance. Markets like this typically list many possible driver outcomes (this one offers 37 distinct outcomes) so traders can express views on favorites, longshots, and likely midpack finishers.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders about which drivers will finish in the top 20 and update as new information arrives (practice, qualifying, lineup changes, weather, incidents). Use prices as signals that change over time rather than fixed predictions.
Closure timing is set by the platform (KALSHI) for this specific market; most race markets close at or just before the official race start, but you should check the market page for the exact closing time and any last-minute changes.
Outcomes correspond to the individual driver entries listed in this market; the settled winners are the drivers who appear in the official top-20 finishing order for the race as recorded by NASCAR and adopted by the platform.
This market settles using the official, final NASCAR results as recognized by the platform; if NASCAR issues penalties or adjustments after the checkered flag, the platform will follow its stated settlement window and use the amended official classification when determining winners.
Qualifying and practice provide useful signals about raw speed and setup but are not determinative: over a full race distance, pit execution, in-race adjustments, strategy, and incident avoidance often have equal or greater impact on reaching the top 20.
Key in-race movers include multi-car crashes and cautions that reshuffle running order, mechanical failures and DNFs that remove competitors, pit-stop errors that lose track position, and late-race strategy calls (fuel/tire choices) that create position swings.