| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Busch | 31% | 0¢ | 31¢ | — | $33K | Trade → |
| Connor Zilisch | 38% | 0¢ | 35¢ | — | $25K | Trade → |
| Noah Gragson | 10% | 0¢ | 30¢ | — | $24K | Trade → |
| Erik Jones | 8% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| Zane Smith | 25% | 0¢ | 30¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| Daniel Suárez | 53% | 1¢ | 70¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Joey Logano | 88% | 1¢ | 88¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Shane Van Gisbergen | 38% | 0¢ | 39¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Chris Buescher | 42% | 31¢ | 44¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| William Byron | 88% | 35¢ | 88¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Ryan Blaney | 85% | 0¢ | 85¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Ryan Preece | 30% | 55¢ | 77¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Austin Dillon | 8% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Michael McDowell | 16% | 0¢ | 49¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Chase Briscoe | 56% | 2¢ | 84¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Austin Cindric | 57% | 0¢ | 62¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Todd Gilliland | 5% | 0¢ | 24¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Austin Hill | 5% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Ty Gibbs | 58% | 1¢ | 82¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Josh Berry | 35% | 0¢ | 82¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Alex Bowman | 4% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Resolved |
| Kyle Larson | 48% | 1¢ | 48¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Denny Hamlin | 97% | 7¢ | 99¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Carson Hocevar | 43% | 0¢ | 76¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Ty Dillon | 3% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Cole Custer | 5% | 0¢ | 32¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| John H. Nemechek | 13% | 0¢ | 25¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Brad Keselowski | 22% | 0¢ | 36¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Ross Chastain | 50% | 0¢ | 48¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Ricky Stenhouse | 12% | 0¢ | 29¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Chase Elliott | 66% | 0¢ | 66¢ | — | $998 | Trade → |
| Tyler Reddick | 62% | 0¢ | 89¢ | — | $843 | Trade → |
| AJ Allmendinger | 20% | 5¢ | 29¢ | — | $699 | Trade → |
| Riley Herbst | 3% | 0¢ | 29¢ | — | $693 | Trade → |
| Bubba Wallace | 84% | 0¢ | 84¢ | — | $681 | Trade → |
| Christopher Bell | 57% | 57¢ | 87¢ | — | $578 | Trade → |
| Cody Ware | 3% | 0¢ | 18¢ | — | $176 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express expectations about which drivers will finish in the Top 10 of the NASCAR Straight Talk Wireless 500, providing a real‑time consensus view of likely strong performers. It matters because Top‑10 finishes are a key measure of season performance and can move quickly as race weekend information arrives.
The market covers a single race within the current NASCAR season; it currently lists 37 distinct outcomes and has seen $15,303 in volume traded, with a closing time listed as TBD. Factors that shape this race’s context include recent form across the series, team resources, car setups tuned for this track type, and any rule or equipment changes announced during the season.
Market odds represent the aggregated expectations of traders and will change as new information (practice times, qualifying, weather, lineup changes, or injuries) becomes available. Treat market prices as evolving signals, not guarantees — they summarize beliefs about who will finish in the Top 10 at the time of the trade.
The official close time for this market is listed as TBD; on KALSHI, similar race markets typically close before the race green flag or when trading is suspended by the platform. Check the market page shortly before race day for the definitive close time.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific listed driver (or entry) and reflects that driver finishing inside the race’s Top 10; the number 37 indicates how many drivers or entries are available for selection in this market.
Look at which drivers and teams have historically performed well at this particular event and track type, how the venue typically handles tire wear and passing, and whether past editions featured many cautions or long green‑flag runs—those patterns influence Top‑10 probabilities.
Prioritize drivers from teams with consistent race pace, strong pit crews, and crew chiefs experienced at this track; also monitor recent season form and any drivers who have shown strong short‑ or long‑run speed in practice sessions that weekend.
Interruptions compress gaps and can negate earlier advantages, making the final Top‑10 order more volatile; they create opportunities for position gains on restarts and can favor drivers with strong short‑run speed or aggressive pit calls, so markets will often react quickly to such events.