| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ottawa wins by over 1.5 goals | 39% | 36¢ | 38¢ | — | $515 | Trade → |
| Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals | 25% | 20¢ | 23¢ | — | $169 | Trade → |
| Ottawa wins by over 2.5 goals | 25% | 24¢ | 27¢ | — | $33 | Trade → |
| Montreal wins by over 2.5 goals | 12% | 12¢ | 16¢ | — | $22 | Trade → |
This market asks which side of the posted point spread will cover in the Montreal at Ottawa game; spread outcomes determine which traders win or lose and reflect expectations about the margin of victory.
Montreal and Ottawa are regional rivals whose meetings can be influenced by recent form, roster turnover, and coaching matchups. Venue (Ottawa at home), scheduling (back-to-back games or extended travel), and late roster decisions frequently shift the likely margin. Special-teams performance and the identity of each team's starter at the most critical position are recurring determinants of game margins.
Market odds express the aggregate view of traders about which spread outcome is most likely and update as new information arrives. Use odds movement to see how the market reacts to lineup news, injuries, and other developments.
The event page currently lists the close time as TBD; typically spread markets close at or shortly before the official game start. Check the platform for the final posted closing time and any last-minute updates.
Each outcome represents a distinct range or bucket of point-spread results (for example, one bucket for Montreal covering by a certain margin, one for Ottawa covering, and additional buckets or a push). Consult the market's outcome labels on the platform to see the exact thresholds that define each outcome.
Late lineup changes often materially alter the expected margin and typically cause rapid odds movement; track official team reports and platform updates, since such news can flip which spread outcome the market favors.
Head-to-head history provides context but is less predictive than recent form, current rosters, and matchup-specific factors; give greater weight to recent encounters with similar lineups and venue conditions.
Resolution follows the exchange's rules: markets may be voided, suspended until rescheduling, or settled according to predefined minimum-game requirements. Refer to KALSHI's resolution policy for the definitive procedure in the event of postponement or cancellation.