| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals | 28% | 24¢ | 27¢ | — | $839 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles wins by over 1.5 goals | 31% | 31¢ | 33¢ | — | $501 | Trade → |
| Montreal wins by over 2.5 goals | 12% | 14¢ | 18¢ | — | $24 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles wins by over 2.5 goals | 19% | 21¢ | 24¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
This market asks which spread outcome will occur when the Montreal team plays in Los Angeles; it matters because spread markets let traders express views on margin of victory rather than just winner/loser.
This is a head-to-head road game between Montreal and Los Angeles within the sport's regular-season schedule, where travel, matchups, and recent form shape expectations. Historical context such as recent meetings, travel schedules, and each club's season phase (e.g., early-season rust, playoff push) can influence how the spread behaves. Market prices reflect collective expectations about those contextual factors and adjust as new information arrives.
Interpret market prices as the crowd’s view of which spread band is most likely to occur; prices move as traders react to news like lineups, injuries, and goaltender decisions. Always check the contract text for how the market defines the spread and what final score rules apply before trading.
The event page lists the close as TBD; the exact close time is set by KALSHI on the contract page and typically occurs before game start. Check the contract details and any platform notifications for the official close time.
Each outcome corresponds to a distinct spread band or margin category as defined in the contract description; the outcomes partition possible final margins so traders can take positions on which band will happen. Review the contract text on KALSHI to see the exact spread ranges tied to each outcome.
Settlement rules vary by contract; some spreads use final score including overtime/shootout while others use regulation-only results. Consult the market's settlement rules on KALSHI to know which scoring period applies.
Late roster moves typically shift market prices as traders react; they do not change contract definitions but can materially alter the expected margin. If such news occurs before the market closes, expect rapid price movement as participants update positions.
Yes — relatively low traded volume means liquidity is limited, so prices can move sharply on small trades and it may be harder to execute large orders without impacting the market. Factor liquidity into sizing and consider the bid/ask or available depth before placing trades.