| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Montreal wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cincinnati wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market resolves on how the point spread for the Montreal at Cincinnati matchup will settle across four listed outcomes; it matters because spread markets capture consensus expectations about margin of victory and inform hedging or speculative strategies.
The contest pits Montreal against Cincinnati in their scheduled matchup, with outcomes influenced by season form, head-to-head tendencies, and home-field dynamics. Historical results, recent roster availability, and coaching approaches typically feed into how market participants price the spread here.
Market prices reflect the crowd’s view of which spread range is most likely to occur and will move as new information appears; interpret changes as shifts in perceived expected margin rather than fixed predictions.
The platform controls the trading window; the event listing shows 'Closes: TBD' so monitor the KALSHI page for an official open and close time — trading typically closes shortly before kickoff or at a platform-specified deadline.
Settlement is based on the official game margin relative to the market’s predefined spread thresholds; the KALSHI outcome descriptions specify the exact margin ranges that correspond to each of the four outcomes, so consult those definitions for precise settlement rules.
Key items include confirmed starting XIs, late injury or suspension news, coach lineup hints, weather or pitch advisories, and any travel or roster disruptions; sportsbooks’ published lines moving can also trigger market adjustments.
A late scratch often increases volatility: the market will reprice to reflect the new expected margin, and liquidity may widen as traders reassess; the direction and magnitude depend on the importance of the scratched player to the team’s tactics.
Most spread markets settle on the official final score at the end of regulation play unless the market rules state otherwise; check the event’s settlement rules on KALSHI to confirm whether only regulation time or the final competition result is used.