| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phantom | 47% | 36¢ | 48¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Mist | 63% | 54¢ | 64¢ | — | $247 | Trade → |
This market asks which side wins the upcoming contest between Mist and Phantom. It matters because market prices aggregate information from many participants and can provide a real-time signal about expectations for the match outcome.
Mist and Phantom are two competing teams/players in a sporting matchup; the specific sport and schedule determine many relevant details. Historical form, recent roster moves, and the context of the competition (league match, playoff, exhibition) shape expectations and how participants trade this market.
Market prices are collective judgments that update as new information arrives; they should be used alongside independent research. Prices are not guarantees of outcomes but indicate how traders are weighing available evidence at a given moment.
This market has two outcomes corresponding to which side wins the match: one outcome for a Mist victory and one outcome for a Phantom victory. How ties, cancellations, or no-contests are handled depends on the exchange’s resolution rules.
A closing time marked TBD means the exchange has not yet set or published the final cutoff. Exchanges commonly close markets at match start or at a predetermined administrative time; check the platform for updates and final close notifications.
Resolution rules vary by platform. Typical possibilities include waiting until the fixture is completed, voiding and refunding contracts if canceled with no reschedule, or specific rules for draws if the market was binary on a win. Refer to KALSHI’s official resolution policy for definitive guidance.
Watch starting lineups and last-minute injuries or suspensions, official pregame reports, weather or venue announcements, coach press conferences, and any news about travel or roster changes—each can materially shift expectations.
Late injury reports or scratches, surprise lineup changes, key player unavailability, sudden venue or schedule changes, and breaking news about discipline or eligibility can all trigger quick repricing.