| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida International wins by over 1.5 Points | 50% | 46¢ | 50¢ | — | $721 | Trade → |
| Missouri St. wins by over 2.5 Points | 41% | 40¢ | 45¢ | — | $406 | Trade → |
| Missouri St. wins by over 16.5 Points | 10% | 3¢ | 10¢ | — | $149 | Trade → |
| Missouri St. wins by over 1.5 Points | 43% | 43¢ | 48¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| Florida International wins by over 2.5 Points | 44% | 41¢ | 44¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| Missouri St. wins by over 7.5 Points | 23% | 23¢ | 29¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| Missouri St. wins by over 5.5 Points | 29% | 29¢ | 35¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| Florida International wins by over 4.5 Points | 35% | 33¢ | 39¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| Florida International wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 30¢ | 37¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Missouri St. wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 11¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida International wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 11¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Missouri St. wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 13¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida International wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Missouri St. wins by over 17.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Missouri St. wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 6¢ | 14¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida International wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 5¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida International wins by over 17.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Missouri St. wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 5¢ | 14¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida International wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 7¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida International wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 23¢ | 30¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Missouri St. wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 19¢ | 26¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida International wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 20¢ | 27¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Missouri St. wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 32¢ | 39¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida International wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 13¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders buy and sell outcomes tied to the point spread for the Missouri State at Florida International matchup; it matters because spread markets aggregate public and professional views about the expected margin of victory.
Missouri State and Florida International are collegiate programs whose matchup outcomes are influenced by roster composition, coaching, travel, and situational factors; the market lists 24 discrete spread outcomes that reflect different margin bands. Head-to-head history may be limited, so current-season form, injuries, and matchup specifics usually drive expectations more than distant past results.
Prices in this market reflect the consensus expectations for which spread interval will occur; movements typically signal new information (injuries, lineup changes, weather, or liquidity) shifting market expectations.
The listed close time is currently TBD; Kalshi (the platform) will announce the official close time and any changes on the event page — resolution occurs based on the platform's stated rules using the official final game score.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific spread band or margin interval (e.g., ranges of points by which one team covers or fails to cover the spread); consult the market's contract description on the platform for the exact boundaries of each outcome.
Late moves often reflect new, event-specific information such as injury reports, announced starting lineups, weather updates, or concentrated betting flow — they indicate the market incorporating that information into expectations for the spread outcome.
Head-to-head history can provide context but is typically less predictive than current-season factors (roster changes, injuries, coaching, and recent performance), especially if the teams have met infrequently or under very different roster circumstances.
Most platforms resolve spread markets using the official final score including overtime; if the game is postponed or canceled, the platform's specific cancellation and no-contest rules determine resolution — check the event contract and Kalshi's policies for details.