| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bailey Ober: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bailey Ober: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bailey Ober: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bailey Ober: 6+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bailey Ober: 7+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bailey Ober: 8+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bailey Ober: 9+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shane Baz: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shane Baz: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shane Baz: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shane Baz: 6+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shane Baz: 7+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shane Baz: 8+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shane Baz: 9+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shane Baz: 10+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks traders to predict the strikeout outcome for the Minnesota vs Baltimore game and matters because strikeout totals capture pitching dominance and influence in-game dynamics. It gives a way to express expectations about how the pitchers and hitters will perform on that specific day.
Minnesota and Baltimore enter games with differing pitching staffs, lineup tendencies, and recent usage patterns that historically influence strikeout rates. Starting pitcher matchups are often the single biggest driver, but bullpen plans, rest, and late-game strategy also matter. Ballpark dimensions and weather at game time can further push outcomes toward more or fewer strikeouts.
Market prices on this event reflect the collective view of traders about which strikeout range or outcome is most likely given available information. Prices update as new facts arrive (lineups, confirmed starters, weather), so treat them as a live consensus signal rather than a fixed prediction.
Check the market's specific outcome descriptions on the market page; many strikeout markets are for the combined total, but some list separate outcomes for each team or individual pitchers.
Resolution typically relies on the official box score notation: a strikeout is the charged K recorded by the official scorer, including strikeouts where the batter reaches first on an uncaught third strike—confirm the market rules for the designated data source.
Whether extra innings count depends on the market's rules; many markets include all official innings played on the scheduled game date, but you should verify the market's resolution criteria on the event page.
Resolution in the case of postponement or cancellation follows the exchange's settlement policies—markets are often voided or paused unless the game is completed within a specified window; consult the market rules or KALSHI's policy for this event.
Late lineup or starter changes and weather updates can materially shift expectations because they change the key inputs (who will pitch, how many innings they will throw, and hitting conditions); prices usually react quickly once such information is public.