| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Adley Rutschman: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Byron Buxton: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Byron Buxton: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colton Cowser: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colton Cowser: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gunnar Henderson: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gunnar Henderson: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Luke Keaschall: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Luke Keaschall: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Matt Wallner: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Matt Wallner: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pete Alonso: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pete Alonso: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Royce Lewis: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Royce Lewis: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tyler O'Neill: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tyler O'Neill: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market covers home-run-related outcomes for a Minnesota vs Baltimore matchup and matters for traders who want to express views on which team or which players will hit homers in that game.
The market aggregates discrete propositions tied to home runs (for teams, individual players, or exact totals) rather than a single binary event. Home-run risk in any single game reflects a mix of ballpark factors, the pitching matchup, and the specific batter-pitcher matchups on the day. Because lineups, weather, and pitching plans can change up to game time, bettors often monitor late-breaking information.
Market prices indicate how other traders are valuing each home-run proposition relative to alternatives; they update as new information arrives. Use prices as a real-time summary of collective expectations, and combine them with independent checks of lineups, starters, and conditions before trading.
Outcomes typically cover a mix of propositions such as team total home runs, individual player home-run occurrence, and exact total home-run ranges; consult the market page to see the full list of the 18 specific propositions.
A market listed as 'TBD' will close at the official time posted by the platform once finalized; commonly MLB-related markets close shortly before first pitch, but always confirm the official closing time on the market page.
Check the announced starting pitchers and projected lineups, wind speed and direction at the stadium, and any late scratches or roster moves—these tend to have the biggest immediate impact on home-run likelihood.
Focus on which power hitters are in the lineup, their handedness vs the opposing pitcher, recent hard-hit and fly-ball form, and whether they’re in a favorable spot in the batting order for plate appearances.
In-game changes that alter pitcher-batter matchups or environmental conditions usually shift the expected home-run probabilities; traders often adjust positions quickly when relievers with different home-run tendencies enter or when weather forecasts change materially.