| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether a run will be scored during the first inning of the Minnesota vs Baltimore game. It matters because first-inning scoring reflects immediate matchups (starters vs. top of the order) and drives early in-game strategy and market movement.
Context includes the announced starting pitchers, the projected lineups (especially leadoff hitters), and ballpark and weather conditions that influence offense. Historical tendencies — such as each team’s early-inning scoring rates, starters’ typical first-inning performance, and recent head-to-head matchups — can provide useful background. Market liquidity and closing time may vary, so pregame information often drives the initial quotes.
Prediction market odds aggregate current market participants’ expectations and will update as new information arrives (lineup announcements, pitching changes, weather). Use odds to gauge how the market collectively values the pregame and late-breaking factors, not as a fixed forecast.
A first inning run is any run that scores during the top or bottom of the official first inning before the third out is recorded, including earned and unearned runs; the market uses the official game scoring for settlement.
Closing time is determined by the market operator and is typically at or shortly before the scheduled first pitch; check the market page for the definitive close time since it is listed as TBD until announced.
Starting pitcher confirmations or last-minute changes, lineup announcements (especially the leadoff and top three hitters), and injury scratches are the most likely to move the market; weather and umpire assignments can also have material impact.
Settlement follows the platform’s event rules: markets are commonly voided or postponed if the game does not reach the point required for settlement, while suspended games that resume may lead to settlement based on the completed game; consult the market rules for specific contingencies.
Monitor confirmed starting pitchers and lineups, weather forecasts, and late scratches; weigh the significance of a pitching change versus a small lineup tweak, and be mindful of market liquidity and timing — many moves happen in the final hour before first pitch.