| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many combined runs Minnesota and Baltimore will score in the first five innings of their game; it matters because short-game scoring windows concentrate on starting pitchers and early-game matchups that traders can act on.
First-five-innings markets isolate the early portion of a baseball game, emphasizing starters' performance, lineup construction, and park/weather effects rather than late-inning reliever usage. Historical tendencies between the clubs, announced starters, and game-site conditions often provide the most relevant context for this specific matchup.
Market odds reflect traders’ collective assessment of which discrete total (or total range) is most likely through the end of the fifth inning; watch how odds move as pregame information arrives rather than treating an opening price as fixed.
Closes are listed on the market page and are typically set to occur at or shortly before first pitch; because this market shows 'Closes: TBD,' check the KALSHI market page for the final close time and any platform notices before trading.
The announced starting pitchers for both teams are the primary drivers, along with the top hitters in each lineup; late scratches to either starter or to key offensive players can materially change first-five expectations.
Settlement is based on the official scorekeeping through the end of the fifth inning as recorded by the league; extra innings do not affect the first-five outcome, and platform-specific rules (e.g., voiding or delayed settlement if the game is not completed) are applied—confirm KALSHI’s resolution rules for edge cases.
The seven outcomes correspond to discrete combined-run totals (individual integers or an upper bucket for the highest totals) scored by both teams through five innings; read each outcome as the exact combined run count (or the specified top-end bucket) at the end of the fifth inning.
Key movers are announced starting pitchers or late scratches, changes to the published lineups, weather alerts or new wind forecasts at the ballpark, and any reports of pitcher health or bullpen availability; monitor official team reports and the stadium forecast right up to game time.