| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 goals scored | 58% | 55¢ | 58¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 goals scored | 44% | 44¢ | 47¢ | — | $321 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 goals scored | 83% | 76¢ | 83¢ | — | $17 | Trade → |
| Over 7.5 goals scored | 20% | 21¢ | 28¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| Over 9.5 goals scored | 90% | 3¢ | 12¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 goals scored | 0% | 82¢ | 91¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 2.5 goals scored | 0% | 4¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 8.5 goals scored | 0% | 15¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders buy outcomes tied to the combined points scored by Minnesota (visiting) and Vegas (home) in their matchup. It matters because total-points contracts aggregate many game-level uncertainties into a single tradeable outcome that reflects expected game flow.
Context includes team offensive and defensive form entering the game, pregame injury reports, and any coaching or scheme changes that could alter scoring. Venue factors (indoor vs. outdoor, altitude, surface) and short-term news such as late scratches or weather advisories can shift expectations quickly.
Market prices reflect the crowd’s collective expectation for the final combined score range and update as new information arrives. Use prices as a dynamic signal of changing expectations, not as a fixed forecast.
Each outcome corresponds to a predefined range of combined points scored by both teams; the winning outcome is the bracket that contains the official final combined score as defined in the contract.
'Closes: TBD' means the precise market close time has not been posted; check the KALSHI platform for an updated close time before trading, and assume liquidity and tradability can change sharply as kickoff approaches and news breaks.
Late injury news to high-leverage players (especially starting quarterbacks, primary pass catchers, or lead rushers) tends to move expectations for scoring significantly because it changes offensive capability and likely game script.
Settlement rules are determined by the contract on KALSHI; consult the specific contract language to confirm whether overtime or only regulation scoring is used for settlement.
Relatively low volume implies thinner liquidity, wider spreads, and greater sensitivity to individual trades or new information, so prices may move more abruptly and be less reliable than in higher-volume markets.