| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 73% | 55¢ | 73¢ | — | $95 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 26% | 26¢ | 61¢ | — | $38 | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 12% | 12¢ | 29¢ | — | $25 | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 27% | 0¢ | 28¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins the 1H by over 17.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins the 1H by over 20.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 53¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins the 1H by over 14.5 points | 0% | 3¢ | 24¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 24¢ | 43¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 14¢ | 33¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 53¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the first-half point-spread outcome of the Michigan St. vs Michigan game. It matters for participants who want to express views on which team will lead or keep the game close through halftime, independently of second-half dynamics.
Michigan State vs Michigan is a longstanding in-state rivalry with styles and early-game plans that can differ from final-game approaches; early turnovers, starting lineups and tempo often shape the halftime margin. The market on KALSHI currently lists 11 discrete outcomes and shows modest liquidity (total volume traded is $161); the market’s close time is listed as TBD so participants should watch the market page for updates.
Market prices reflect traders’ collective expectations about the first-half margin and change as new information arrives; read each outcome’s description to understand the exact margin or bracket that outcome represents and consult the market rules for settlement details.
It refers to the point-spread outcome determined solely by the score at the official halftime of this specific Michigan St. vs Michigan game; only points scored in the first half count toward settlement.
Each listed outcome corresponds to a particular margin or range at halftime as described on the market page; the outcome that matches the final first-half margin will be the winning outcome according to the market’s payout rules.
The market close is currently TBD; typically these first-half markets close at or shortly before kickoff, but you should check the KALSHI market page for the official close time and any last-minute updates.
Settlement is based on the official game statistics designated by the market operator (usually the league’s or venue’s official box score); the market terms also specify how cancellations, postponements, or shortened games are handled.
Watch final injury and scratch reports, announced starters and rotation notes, coach press conference comments about early-game strategy, weather/field reports if applicable, and real-time market price movement for signals of new information.