| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan wins by over 10.5 Points | 43% | 43¢ | 46¢ | — | $81K | Trade → |
| Michigan wins by over 8.5 Points | 54% | 54¢ | 55¢ | — | $75K | Trade → |
| Michigan wins by over 4.5 Points | 69% | 67¢ | 69¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Michigan wins by over 11.5 Points | 42% | 40¢ | 42¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Michigan wins by over 7.5 Points | 56% | 56¢ | 58¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins by over 11.5 Points | 5% | 1¢ | 6¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Michigan wins by over 5.5 Points | 66% | 63¢ | 66¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins by over 14.5 Points | 3% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Michigan wins by over 14.5 Points | 29% | 29¢ | 33¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Michigan wins by over 13.5 Points | 33% | 33¢ | 36¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins by over 2.5 Points | 13% | 13¢ | 17¢ | — | $465 | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins by over 1.5 Points | 19% | 15¢ | 19¢ | — | $396 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins by over 2.5 Points | 77% | 74¢ | 76¢ | — | $346 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins by over 16.5 Points | 23% | 23¢ | 28¢ | — | $292 | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins by over 23.5 Points | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $250 | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins by over 26.5 Points | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $250 | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins by over 20.5 Points | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $250 | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins by over 17.5 Points | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $250 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins by over 1.5 Points | 75% | 77¢ | 80¢ | — | $145 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins by over 26.5 Points | 6% | 3¢ | 5¢ | — | $110 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins by over 17.5 Points | 25% | 21¢ | 25¢ | — | $90 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins by over 20.5 Points | 15% | 15¢ | 18¢ | — | $82 | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins by over 4.5 Points | 15% | 10¢ | 15¢ | — | $71 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins by over 22.5 Points | 12% | 10¢ | 12¢ | — | $49 | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins by over 8.5 Points | 5% | 3¢ | 5¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins by over 19.5 Points | 0% | 16¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins by over 23.5 Points | 0% | 6¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 7¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins by over 25.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the point-spread outcome for the Michigan State at Michigan college football game, showing collective expectations about which team will cover. It matters because spreads capture both on-field matchups and shifting information like injuries and weather ahead of kickoff.
Michigan and Michigan State are longstanding rivals in the Big Ten, and games between them often feature heightened intensity, coaching adjustments, and motivated performances. Recent seasons, roster turnover, and coaching changes can influence matchup dynamics, but rivalry games frequently defy simple form-based predictions. Game location, travel, and local conditions also shape how both teams approach play-calling and risk.
Prediction market prices represent the market’s aggregated view of which side will cover the listed spread and update as new information arrives. Use them as a real-time signal to complement, not replace, your own analysis of team news, injuries, and situational factors.
The market typically closes at the scheduled kickoff time and resolves based on the official final point margin of the game as reported by the market operator; check the market page for the exact resolution time and any operator-specific rules.
The multiple outcomes correspond to different spread margins and brackets; each outcome represents a specific range or side of the final point differential, letting traders express views across many possible margins rather than a single binary result.
Significant late injuries or confirmed absences can materially change expected scoring balance and should prompt reassessment; prediction markets often move quickly when such news is public, but verify official reports before trading.
Resolution procedures vary by platform: commonly markets will be voided and funds returned if the game does not reach official completion, or an alternate resolution rule will apply; consult the market’s rules for this event for the definitive policy.
Rivalry effects can increase variance—teams often perform differently than season trends in rivalry games—so factor in historical rivalry tendencies, coaching styles that emphasize rivalry preparation, and any situational motivations like rivalry trophies or postseason implications.