| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take a position on which team—Miami or Charlotte—or a tie will outscore the other in the second half of their game. It matters because second-half outcomes isolate in-game adjustments and can move quickly with real-time events, creating trading opportunities during the matchup.
Miami and Charlotte are competing NBA teams with different styles and roster constructions; the second half often highlights coaching adjustments, rotation changes, and fatigue. Past meetings between these clubs can offer context but are only one input—game-day injuries, travel schedules, and matchup-specific tendencies usually matter more for second-half performance.
Market prices reflect the aggregate expectations of traders and will move as new information becomes available (halftime score, injuries, lineup changes, etc.). Use prices together with live game information to assess whether market moves match what you see on court.
The outcome is determined by comparing the points each team scores during the third and fourth quarters of the official game. If the market includes a tie outcome, that resolves in the event of equal second-half scoring; check the event page for any special settlement notes (for example, whether overtime is included).
The event listing currently shows the close time as TBD; typically, markets for a single-game outcome will stop trading before or at the start of the period they reference. Confirm the exact close time on the KALSHI event page before placing trades.
That depends on the market’s settlement rules. Some second-half markets exclude overtime and use only regulation third and fourth quarters, while others include overtime. Always review the specific market rules on the event page to see how overtime is handled.
Use halftime to reassess based on the score, visible fatigue, which players are in foul trouble, and any announced lineup or tactical changes. Halftime is often when markets react most: consider whether the trailing team is likely to increase pace or whether the leader will shorten rotations and manage the clock.
Significant injuries or ejections that remove a primary scorer or defender materially change second-half expectations and typically cause rapid price moves. Monitor official injury reports, on-court medical stoppages, and coach comments; settlements will follow the official box score and the market’s stated rules.