| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 30+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 35+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 40+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 45+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 50+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 55+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 60+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many regular-season wins the Miami-based professional basketball team referenced on the contract will record this season; it matters because win totals are a compact way to express team performance expectations and affect related bets and portfolio decisions.
The market sits against a single-season win total for the Miami franchise named on the KALSHI contract and reflects collective expectations about that franchise’s performance across the regular season. Historical context — recent season records, roster continuity, and prior playoff outcomes — provides a baseline, while offseason moves and early-season form can shift expectations quickly.
Market prices and outcome trading reflect the aggregate view of participants about where the team will finish; reading the market alongside on-court developments helps infer how new information is being incorporated, but settlement is determined by the contract’s stated rules and the league’s official standings.
The contract page on KALSHI identifies the specific Miami franchise in the event title and description; always check that contract text to confirm which professional team (and which league's season) the market tracks.
'This season' is defined by the league season referenced in the contract; settlement typically uses the league's official regular-season standings for that season (preseason and playoff games are excluded) and follows the contract's stated settlement date or rule set.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific win-total threshold or range as labeled on the market page (for example, 'at least X wins' or 'between Y and Z wins'); consult the outcome labels on the contract to see the exact win counts or ranges covered.
Settlement follows the league's official record-keeping: postponed games count if they are subsequently played, canceled games are handled per league rulings, and the final standing used for settlement is the league’s official regular-season record as recognized by the contract.
Track injury reports and player availability, trade and signing activity, announced load-management plans, coaching and rotation changes, and upcoming schedule segments (tough stretches, travel, back-to-backs), since these factors materially shift expected win totals.