| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 220.5 points scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 217.5 points scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 244.5 points scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 232.5 points scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 238.5 points scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 235.5 points scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 241.5 points scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 229.5 points scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 226.5 points scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 214.5 points scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 223.5 points scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks traders to predict which total-points outcome will occur in the Miami at Houston game; it matters because it summarizes expectations about how many points both teams will combine for and how the game will flow.
Miami and Houston bring different offensive and defensive profiles, and recent form, head-to-head history, and schedule context (rest, travel, back-to-backs) shape scoring expectations. Market participants use publicly available signals—injury reports, starting lineups, weather for outdoor sports, and recent pace—to update their views ahead of the game.
Market quotes aggregate participants’ views about likely total scoring and typically move as new information arrives; interpret moving prices as the market updating its consensus, not as fixed predictions.
The event currently lists its close time as TBD; the market will close at the deadline set on the KALSHI market page (commonly before game start or at the posted cutoff), so you must enter positions prior to that posted close time.
The eleven outcomes are discrete total-point buckets or thresholds defined by the contract; settlement assigns the actual game total to the corresponding bucket per the market’s rulebook — consult the market description on KALSHI for the exact mapping from final scoreboard totals to outcome labels.
Whether overtime is included depends on the contract’s settlement rules for this market; the market description or KALSHI’s event terms will state explicitly if overtime periods are counted in the final total.
Focus on availability and expected minutes for each team’s leading scorers and primary ball-handlers, announced starting lineups, and any mid-day injury/illness updates — changes to those names and minutes are the most direct drivers of changes in total-scoring expectations.
Late changes typically prompt rapid price adjustments as traders reassess scoring expectations; in thinly traded outcomes, those updates can produce larger swings, while highly liquid outcomes may absorb the information more smoothly — settlement, however, is always determined by the actual on-field/on-court scoring according to the contract rules.